• Size up
  • Size down
  • Share this article
  • Print this page

Economics

UK – Bank of England: On course for slow tightening despite Brexit uncertainty

  • Edition August 6, 2018

    The BoE increased its key policy rate by 25bp to 0.75% at the August monetary policy meeting. Well flagged prior to the meeting, the move was largely anticipated by the markets. The vote was unanimous (9-0), contrary to expectations for a split vote. However, it is difficult to extract a clearly hawkish sign for future meetings. We continue to anticipate one rate hike per year, with the next rate hike expected in May 2019.

    Extract

    Download publication - (Format PDF - 552.92 Ko)

Italy - Scenario 2018-2019: A stabilized growth

  • Edition August 1, 2018

    In 2017, Italian growth increased by 1.5%. Following the political events the country has been facing since March, we have revised our forecasts for the years 2018 and 2019 to 1.4% and 1.2% respectively.

    Extract

    Download publication - (Format PDF - 2.28 Mo)

France – Scenario 2018-2019

  • Edition 25 July 2018

    In 2016, and for the third consecutive year, growth stood at around 1% in France. It then accelerated sharply in 2017, to 2.3%. For 2018 and 2019, we expect growth to remain strong, at 1.8% and 1.7%, respectively.

    Extract

    Download publication - (Format PDF - 2.09 Mo)

Germany – 2018-2019 Scenario: Q2 2018 Outlook

  • Edition July 24, 2018

    Following a first quarter characterized by a marked slowdown in activity, German growth is expected to accelerate slightly in the second quarter. Domestic demand will remain the main driver of growth thanks to sustained private consumption and still positive investment momentum. External demand is faded by the rise of US protectionist barriers that are likely to hit more severely German exporters.

    Extract

    Download publication - (Format PDF - 2.13 Mo)

World – Macroeconomic Scenario for 2018-2019: The end is not yet nigh

  • Edition July 10, 2018

    Despite tightening financial conditions in the US and a possible worsening of trade tensions, a cyclical downturn is not imminent. The heady days of simultaneous expansion are, however, now well and truly over. Growth is still running high in the US and remains vigorous in the Eurozone after a temporary loss of impetus, though it looks set to recede in the emerging economies – the first region to suffer from the killer combination of a rising dollar, rising US interest rates, and growing fears of protectionism.

    Extract

    Download publication - (Format PDF - 923.4 Ko)

World - Macroeconomic Scenario for 2018-2019: Economic and financial forecasts

Italy – Economic climate: Economy still resilient in Q1 2018

  • Edition 9 July 2018

    Italian economic growth moderately slowed in Q1 2018, against a backdrop of a marked deceleration in the European cycle. That backdrop had an adverse effect on the contribution from foreign demand, but domestic demand was still robust. For banks, both asset quality and profitability improvement have continued to improve, but the new government has disrupted this more upbeat context.

    Extract

    Download publication - (Format PDF - 665.02 Ko)

Subscription

Follow the economic activity!

Sectors, regions, videos, graphics... all the economic information that you needs !

Already a subscriber ? Log in