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Perspectives


Emerging Countries Prospects

Monthly – A round-up of economic affairs in emerging economies with commentaries.

  • Edition November 8, 2016 Emerging Countries – Monthly News Digest
    Highlights: Russia's Central Bank is on the horns of dilemmas. Turkey is seeing a very significant worsening of its corruption indicators. In Tunisia, the economy is ailing despite the aid, but there is some political hope.  In South Africa, the budget has been revised in a toxic atmosphere. In China, the Communist Party's Plenum was held under the banner of transparency... Brazil cuts its key rate for the first time since 2012 (but only by 25bp).

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Macro Prospects

A quarterly publication setting out the Crédit Agricole scenario for the economy, interest rates and currencies in the main economic regions, ie, the Americas, Europe and Asia.

  • Edition October 3, 2016 World – Macroeconomic Scenario for 2016-2017: That elusive missing link
    Has the "classic" recovery cycle, whereby growth picks up on the strength of a virtuous circle and investment acts as an accelerator, gone belly up? Despite reduced financial constraints, businesses are watching and waiting and are loath to invest. Global growth is feeling the pain, as is potential growth. Meanwhile, alone at the helm, central banks have fired off all their ammunition.

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Forecasts Prospects

Aperiodic publication - Tabular data for Crédit Agricole economic and financial forecasts.

  • Edition September 30, 2016 World - Macroeconomic Scenario for 2015-2016: Economic and financial forecasts
    This publication presents the economists' forecasts for interest rates, exchange rates and commodity prices, along with the Crédit Agricole Group's central economic projection.

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French Macro Prospects

A quarterly analysis of the French macro-economic environment, with forecasts out to two years.

  • Edition October 25, 2016 France - 2016-2017 Macroeconomic scenario: A fairly feeble recovery
    We are expecting a slight improvement in economic growth in 2016, with volume GDP growth of 1.3%, compared with 1.2% in 2015 (slightly below the Eurozone average), a rate that should continue through into 2017.

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Italy Macro Prospects

A quarterly analysis of the Italian macro-economic environment, with forecasts out to two years.

  • Edition July, 2013 Trying to save time is a waste of time
    Playing for time while waiting for an improvement in the European economic situation risks miring the Italian economy in recession. Seeking to capitalise on the stability of the financial markets and fiscal consolidation in hopes of achieving some slight room for manoeuvre will not be enough, either. What is really needed are speedy measures to improve the financial situation of Italy's SMEs, even if it takes means other than traditional bank credit to do so.

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