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Macro Prospects

A quarterly publication setting out the Crédit Agricole scenario for the economy, interest rates and currencies in the main economic regions, ie, the Americas, Europe and Asia.

  • Edition March 2014 Get to the nitty gritty, but without losing sight of the rest!
    One shouldn't always extrapolate from the recent past. Markets and economists seem to agree that the disappointment early this year regarding the improvement in global economic conditions will be short-lived. The "managing of expectations" by central banks is proving more complicated than expected. Geopolitical risk is higher. There is still no sign of volatility disappearing from the markets!


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Forecasts Prospects

Aperiodic publication - Tabular data for Crédit Agricole economic and financial forecasts.

  • Forecasts Prospects - March 2014 Economic and financial forecasts
    This publication presents the economists' forecasts for interest rates, exchange rates and commodity prices, along with the Crédit Agricole Group's central economic projection.


    Download publication - (PDF - 328.61 Ko)

French Macro Prospects

A quarterly analysis of the French macro-economic environment, with forecasts out to two years.

  • French Macro Prospects - Edition March, 2014 France can pull it off
    France faces many difficulties, including a structural competitiveness deficit, high unemployment, and low corporate profitability. These limitations are likely to hamper France's post-crisis growth rebound. Yet the French economy has no shortage of good points above and beyond its well-known dynamic demographic.


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Italy Macro Prospects

A quarterly analysis of the Italian macro-economic environment, with forecasts out to two years.

  • Italy Macro Prospects - Edition July, 2013 Trying to save time is a waste of time
    Playing for time while waiting for an improvement in the European economic situation risks miring the Italian economy in recession. Seeking to capitalise on the stability of the financial markets and fiscal consolidation in hopes of achieving some slight room for manoeuvre will not be enough, either. What is really needed are speedy measures to improve the financial situation of Italy's SMEs, even if it takes means other than traditional bank credit to do so.


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