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Perspectives


Emerging Countries Prospects

Monthly – A round-up of economic affairs in emerging economies with commentaries.

  • Edition July 15, 2015 Emerging Countries – Monthly News Digest
    Highlights: In Central Europe, an update on Eurozone country commitments to Greece. What are the political consequences of inflation in Ukraine and Russia? Moroccan growth picked up in Q2. FDI rose in Sub-Saharan Africa in 2014. How far will Chinese stock markets fall? In Chile, recovery is struggling.

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Macro Prospects

A quarterly publication setting out the Crédit Agricole scenario for the economy, interest rates and currencies in the main economic regions, ie, the Americas, Europe and Asia.

  • Edition June 30, 2015 World - Macroeconomic Scenario for 2015-2016
    We have had to revise down our cautiously optimistic March outlook slightly, for two reasons. First, US growth will be lower than expected in 2015 due to a disappointing first quarter. Secondly, the slowdown in the emerging countries will be a little more marked than originally forecast, with recessions in particular. Despite the improved outlook for growth in the Eurozone, the world economy as a whole is ultimately set to grow more slowly in 2015 than in 2014, before a rebound in 2016.

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Forecasts Prospects

Aperiodic publication - Tabular data for Crédit Agricole economic and financial forecasts.

  • Edition June 30, 2015 World - Macroeconomic Scenario for 2015-2016: Economic and financial forecasts
    This publication presents the economists' forecasts for interest rates, exchange rates and commodity prices, along with the Crédit Agricole Group's central economic projection.

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French Macro Prospects

A quarterly analysis of the French macro-economic environment, with forecasts out to two years.

  • Edition April 28, 2015 France – Macroeconomic scenario for 2015-2016
    The current environment is favourable to a quickening in the pace of French growth. This is, in fact, what has been forecast for Q1, with a sustained increase in real GDP. Yet when one analyses the composition of growth over the recent period, one cannot but feel disquiet about the French economy. The low level of investment, in terms of both quantity and quality, is a real problem in these post-crisis times. Our 2015-2016 scenario is based on this two-sided picture.

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Italy Macro Prospects

A quarterly analysis of the Italian macro-economic environment, with forecasts out to two years.

  • Edition July, 2013 Trying to save time is a waste of time
    Playing for time while waiting for an improvement in the European economic situation risks miring the Italian economy in recession. Seeking to capitalise on the stability of the financial markets and fiscal consolidation in hopes of achieving some slight room for manoeuvre will not be enough, either. What is really needed are speedy measures to improve the financial situation of Italy's SMEs, even if it takes means other than traditional bank credit to do so.

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