• Headline

    USA – Market turbulence gives Fed pause for thought

    Edition August 27, 2015

    Financial market turbulence that originated in China has led to tighter financial market conditions (lower equities, stronger dollar), which could hamper progress towards the Fed's growth and inflatio ...

  • Video New

    UK: MPC members flag rising risks for a November hike

    24.07.2015

    The UK MPC looks increasingly split over the next rate move. Last week the BoE Governor Mark Carney and MPC member David Miles prepared the ground for an earlier-than-expected rate hike. What are the ...

  • Graphic Focus

    Contributions of household consumption to growth

    Edition June 30, 2015

    In most countries, consumption is the leading growth factor in our 2015-16 scenario. Its contribution to GDP growth is generally higher than its proportion of GDP. This is especially the case in the U ...

  • CREDIT AGRICOLE CIB

    Discover the economic research of Credit Agricole Corporate & Investment Bank

    23.03.2015

    In collaboration with Crédit Agricole S.A.'s Economic Research Department, Crédit Agricole CIB develops its own axes of research: Global Markets Research, which covers underlying macroeconomic asset ...

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  • Edition August 27, 2015

    USA – Market turbulence gives Fed pause for thought

    Financial market turbulence that originated in China has led to tighter financial market conditions (lower equities, stronger dollar), which could hamper progress towards the Fed's growth and inflation mandates.

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  • Edition July 31, 2015

    USA – Q2 GDP growth rebound led by consumers

    Q2 real GDP growth rose at a 2.3% annual rate, following an upwardly revised 0.6% increase in Q1, while the PCE deflators showed a pickup in Q2 inflation rates. Stronger consumer spending and an improved net export position fuelled the Q2 GDP advance. Residential investment moved higher but fixed non-residential capex spending on equipment pulled back last quarter. We see GDP growth averaging around 2.8% in the second half.

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  • Edition July 31, 2015

    USA – July FOMC: On track for a rate hike

    As expected, there was no change in the fed funds target range (0 to 0.25%). The Fed's read on recent economic data was slightly more upbeat than in June, citing solid job gains, declining unemployment and diminished labor market slack. This suggests to us that the economy continues to move closer to meeting the FOMC's conditions to begin rate normalization.

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  • Edition June 2015

    PRISME - Crédit Agricole Agriculture and Agri-food economic bulletin

    Oil's recent fall, much more brutal than that of most other commodities, shows the extent to which the correlation between oil and agricultural prices has weakened. Energy is one of main variable costs of agricultural production, but its economic impact remains indirect, and varies depending on crops, regions and years. Agrofuels now play a reduced role because their consumption has stabilised and is governed primarily by regulatory framework.

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  • Edition July 22, 2015

    USA – July FOMC Preview: No policy changes expected

    No rate hikes are expected in July. Our base case remains a September lift-off. Fed officials are looking for more evidence that economic growth is sufficiently strong and labor market conditions continue to firm enough to return inflation to the Committee's longer-run 2% objective over the medium term before beginning the process of rate normalization.

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  • Edition July 21, 2015

    France - Housing market : Recent developments and outlook for 2015-2016

    Signs of a market recovery have emerged in recent months. We should not overestimate them however. They mostly concern new-build housing. Sales bounced back sharply in Q1 2015, to 14% over 12 months in the developer new-build sector, and 15% for detached, non-developer homes. The pre-owned sector is more or less stable: despite a rise in sales in early 2015, there was a cumulative drop of 4% over 12 months, with house prices falling by 1.9% over 12 months in Q1.

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  • Edition July 20, 2015

    USA – Piecing together the productivity puzzle: What's behind the slowdown?

    US annual productivity growth has slowed since the 1970s, with a pronounced slowdown occurring during the recovery from the Great Recession. Weak productivity growth appears to reflect a combination of cyclical and structural factors as well as measurement issues.

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Edition July 21, 2015

France: New mortgage lending

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