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Economic Research
Economic Research
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Eco News Special Italy - Edition February 5, 2010
Crédit Agricole's leading indicator for Italy
Crédit Agricole's leading indicator suggests that GDP picked up in Q4 2009 (+1.0% q/q) and is slowing in Q1 2010 (+0.7%).
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Eco News Special Spain - Edition February 3, 2010
Crédit Agricole’s leading indicator for Spain
Crédit Agricole’s leading indicator points to stagnating GDP growth in Q4 2009 and a slight improvement in Q1 2010 (+0.3% q/q).
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Eco News special France - Edition February 2, 2010
Crédit Agricole’s leading indicator for France
The Crédit Agricole’s leading indicator points to GDP growth of 0.4% q/q in Q4 2009 and 0% q/q in Q1 2010.
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Eco News - Edition January 28, 2010
Eurozone sovereign risk: a hierarchy of countries to watch
This article attempts to establish a hierarchy of sovereign risks among the eurozone countries characterised by their highly deteriorated public finances (Portugal, Italy, Ireland, Greece and Spain).
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Eclairages - Edition January - February 2010
Sub-Saharan Africa: a challenging new frontier
Sub-Saharan Africa remains a frontier for investors, whether local or foreign. Recent progress is unquestionable, and the general improvement in economic policy has contributed to resilience in the crisis. External debt is no longer a real problem, but enormous challenges remain, with population growth that is both a source of considerable potential and a major risk, infrastructures that require capital investment, largely underutilized agricultural potential, and finally governance—an area in which progress to date has varied widely across countries.
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Eco News - Edition January 11, 2010
United States: tomorrow's employment
It was highly possible that December 2009 marks the end of net job destruction in the US. The expectations were high following the very pleasant surprise of the November report. These expectations were also legitimate, as all other available indicators are signalling further improvements. These expectations had to be tempered, however, by the significant probability of a downward revision to the November figures and/or a nasty surprise in the December data. In the end, the figure was a deception: nonfarm payrolls fell by 85 000. But it is not as bad as it seems at first glance.
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