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    Two-speed French real estate

    ECO Real Estate – Edition July 2014

    The housing market is adjusting differently in the new build and pre-owned sectors. In the pre-owned sector, unit sales totalled 740,000 in Q1 2014 (12-month total). This was a high level, and only 9% ...

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  • ECO Real Estate – Edition July 2014

    Two-speed French real estate

    The housing market is adjusting differently in the new build and pre-owned sectors. In the pre-owned sector, unit sales totalled 740,000 in Q1 2014 (12-month total). This was a high level, and only 9% down on the 2007 peak. Prices were only slightly down, by 1.4% over 12 months in Q1 2014. In new-build, there has been a significant correction, -44% for individual homes (non-developer). How does one explain this two-speed market?

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  • French Macro Prospects – Edition July, 2014

    France – ISEs: appraisal, impact, issues

    The rise of intermediate-sized enterprises (Entreprises de Taille Intermédiaire – ISEs) is often seen to be spearheading France's industrial re-conquest. Such companies, which combine the benefits both of SMEs and large corporations, have been able to develop, expand into foreign markets, and increase their activity. The French ecosystem must nevertheless continue to adapt in order to support this class of firm and foster the emergence of national champions.

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  • Prisme – Edition June, 2014

    PRISME - Crédit Agricole Agriculture and Agri-food economic bulletin

    Although 2014 fresh tomato campaign has had the chance to start early, geopolitical factors are actually threatening it. Russian market, essential to the stability of the European market, is being sensitive to Ukrainian tensions. As to processed tomato, attention is towards China. But its export growth seems to be limited by growing domestic needs and choices of harvest.

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  • ECO Focus - Edition July 4, 2014

    ECB: the EUR1trn TLTRO hope

    The ECB sounds confident that the June package will work its way towards bank lending and the real economy, helping to bring inflation back to levels consistent with price stability over the medium term. Consistent with this objective, the TLTROs' conditions look very generous, allowing deleveraging banks in particular to borrow extra cash at the ECB from 2015 onwards.

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  • Edition June, 2014

    Doubts

    Q1 14 was disappointing. A few economies saw higher-than-forecast growth, while others. This is because there are still persistent doubts about the scale of the rebound. Central banks are also asking the same questions. In view of all this, it is not surprising that the fixed income and currency markets should be hesitant. Of course interest rates will rise, but by how much and when are the questions still open to debate.

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  • Forecasts Prospects - June 2014

    Economic and financial forecasts

    This publication presents the economists' forecasts for interest rates, exchange rates and commodity prices, along with the Crédit Agricole Group's central economic projection.

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  • ECO Focus - Edition June 19, 2014

    FOMC : Slightly higher near-term rate path expected but...

    The FOMC reduced the pace of its asset purchases by $10 billion to $35 billion as expected. Beginning next month, it will buy $20 billion of longer-dated Treasuries and $15 billion of MBS. The current Fed funds target range (0 to 0.25%) was maintained as was the forward guidance in the statement. 12 out of 16 Fed policymakers expect the lift-off in rates to occur next year.

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Graphics

ECO Real Estate – Edition July 2014

France: Housing starts and building permits

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