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Eco News - Edition February 22, 2010

Greece: back against the wall!

Regardless of the decisions taken at EU level over the weeks ahead, the Greek government is now forced to clean up its public finances, not only to restore its own credibility, but also that of the eurozone as a whole.


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Eclairages - Edition January - February 2010

Governance and human development: selected countries

Governance and human development: selected countries
Africa's progress will also depend on improved governance. Specifically, among the poorest countries, governance alone does not appear to be the discriminating factor: some countries with high resource endowments (Gabon, and Equatorial Guinea) have a relatively high HDI, while others with higher governance ratings but far lower endowments (Mali, and Mozambique) have lower HDI ratings. Nonetheless, most of the African countries with an HDI in the upper part of the "medium" human development level category (around 0.700 and above) are countries with higher-than-average governance (taking all countries).


Last publications

Eco News Special Italy - Edition February 5, 2010

Crédit Agricole's leading indicator for Italy

Crédit Agricole's leading indicator suggests that GDP picked up in Q4 2009 (+1.0% q/q) and is slowing in Q1 2010 (+0.7%).


Eco News Special Spain - Edition February 3, 2010

Crédit Agricole’s leading indicator for Spain

Crédit Agricole’s leading indicator points to stagnating GDP growth in Q4 2009 and a slight improvement in Q1 2010 (+0.3% q/q).


Eco News special France - Edition February 2, 2010

Crédit Agricole’s leading indicator for France

The Crédit Agricole’s leading indicator points to GDP growth of 0.4% q/q in Q4 2009 and 0% q/q in Q1 2010.


Eco News - Edition January 28, 2010

Eurozone sovereign risk: a hierarchy of countries to watch

This article attempts to establish a hierarchy of sovereign risks among the eurozone countries characterised by their highly deteriorated public finances (Portugal, Italy, Ireland, Greece and Spain).


Eclairages - Edition January - February 2010

Sub-Saharan Africa: a challenging new frontier

Sub-Saharan Africa remains a frontier for investors, whether local or foreign. Recent progress is unquestionable, and the general improvement in economic policy has contributed to resilience in the crisis. External debt is no longer a real problem, but enormous challenges remain, with population growth that is both a source of considerable potential and a major risk, infrastructures that require capital investment, largely underutilized agricultural potential, and finally governance—an area in which progress to date has varied widely across countries.


Eco News - Edition January 11, 2010

United States: tomorrow's employment

It was highly possible that December 2009 marks the end of net job destruction in the US. The expectations were high following the very pleasant surprise of the November report. These expectations were also legitimate, as all other available indicators are signalling further improvements. These expectations had to be tempered, however, by the significant probability of a downward revision to the November figures and/or a nasty surprise in the December data. In the end, the figure was a deception: nonfarm payrolls fell by 85 000. But it is not as bad as it seems at first glance.


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