• Headline

    Emerging Countries – Monthly News Digest

    Edition December 13, 2017

    Highlights: In Romania, overheating could signal a cyclical downturn. In Russia, the latest growth statistics show a dip. GDP growth is picking up in Nigeria. Growth is firming up In India. In Chile, ...

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    04.10.2017

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  • Graphic Focus

    France: GDP QoQ growth and contributions

    Edition 24 October 2017

    The GDP growth figure confirms the Q2 pick-up in growth (+0.5% over the quarter for the third quarter running). The growth carry-over for 2017 stands at 1.4%. Growth is being fuelled by higher investm ...

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  • Edition December 13, 2017

    Emerging Countries – Monthly News Digest

    Highlights: In Romania, overheating could signal a cyclical downturn. In Russia, the latest growth statistics show a dip. GDP growth is picking up in Nigeria. Growth is firming up In India. In Chile, the first round of the presidential election saw the investors' favourite poll a disappointing score.

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  • Edition November 10, 2017

    Eurozone – Outlook 2017-2018: Reconfiguration of expectations

    Eurozone growth is strengthening and was moving along at an annual rate of over 2%. The Eurozone thus looks set for another year of above-potential growth driven by a favourable global environment. These positive surprises as regards growth could encourage economic agents to upgrade their prospects, having in recent years been used to their successive downward revisions. However, the euro's recent appreciation has brought some shadow on this perfectly justified optimism-tinted scenario.

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  • Edition November 9, 2017

    Emerging Countries – Monthly News Digest

    Highlights: How to interpret the populist choice of Czech voters? In Algeria, monetising the budget deficit is a dangerous thing. In South Africa, the Finance Minister has admitted to Parliament that the country's deficit was set to widen. In China, Xi Jinping is almost more powerful than Mao. The Argentinian government has scored political successes but poor economic results.

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  • Edition November 7, 2017

    France - Housing Market: Recent developments and outlook for 2018

    The housing market grew at a sustained rate in 2017. The market is likely to see a slight slowdown in 2018-2019, however. First off, the new Housing Plan, unveiled in late September, is favourable over time via a supply-side shock, plus a four-year extension to the Pinel scheme and the PTZ interest-free loan. Second, the relative acceleration in prices and the continued slow increase in lending rates will eat into households' ability to purchase.

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  • Edition October 2017

    Germany – 2017-2018 Scenario: Outlook in Q3-2017

    Domestic demand remains the main factor supporting German activity in 2017 and 2018. The acceleration of consumption and investment this year is being confirmed over the quarters, while the export surge supported by world trade is counterbalanced by the rise of imports that are more dynamic. Our scenario expects a solid GDP growth of + 2.2% in 2017 and + 2.1% in 2018.

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  • Edition 24 October 2017

    France – 2017-2018 Scenario: The economic improvement confirmed

    In 2016, for the third consecutive year, French growth came in at around 1% (1.1% in 2016). In 2017 and 2018, we are expecting to see an acceleration, with real GDP growth of respectively 1.7% and 1.6%. Tangible signs of an economic improvement have been perceptible for several months. The domestic drivers of recovery are more dynamic than we initially forecast. A self-sustaining growth cycle seems to be settling in.

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  • Edition October 16, 2017

    France – Labour market reform: Towards greater flexibility

    The long-term trend in the French labour market is a rising unemployment rate and the development of "mass unemployment". Despite going into reverse in the second half of 2015, the unemployment rate remains high. In view of this, the provisions in the reform of the French labour code are designed to make the labour market more flexible while guaranteeing workers some protection.

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Edition December 13, 2017

India: Contributions to growth

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