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Edition October 12, 2017 - Crédit Agricole S.A.
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  • Edition October 12, 2017

    Emerging Countries – Monthly News Digest

    Highlights: Heading for a peak in the growth cycle in Central Europe. Uzbek devaluation and the threat of a market feeding frenzy in Central Asia. North Africa and Iran are countries whose currencies are threatened by imbalances. Rumours of a cut in key rates abound in South Africa. India's growth rate has kept on slowing since the start of 2016. Sure, the worst is over for Brazilians, but… is the future any more brilliant?

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  • Content:

    - Central and Eastern Europe, Central Asia
    - North Africa, Middle East
    - Sub-Saharan Africa
    - Asia
    - Latin America
    - Trends to watch

  • Extract – India: Slowdown

    That slowdown is the slowdown in growth, which came out at 5.7% y/y in Q2, compared with performances of 6.1% in Q1 and 7% in the last three months of 2016. In fact, it has been falling steadily since the start of last year, when it peaked at 9.2%. At 5.7%, it has hit a slightly more than 3-year low.

    Underlying this, almost all the components of have marked time. During the spring, household consumption thus rose 6.7%, again y/y, compared with a 7.3% increase in the previous quarter. State consumption came in at 17.2% compared with 31.9%. Exports, for their part, grew 1.3% in Q2, almost ten times slower than in Q1. Only investment did better, posting a 1.6% increase – still modest, of course, but more satisfactory than the 2.1% contraction seen in Q1 2017.

  • Central Europe: GDP growth

    Central European countries once again pleasantly surprised the markets with the publication of Q2's growth figures. Their economies exceeded expectations with GDP growth rate figures well above the EU average. Romania was still out in front, its growth rate rising steadily for over three years, edging closer to an annualised 6% increase since the start of the year.

    Central Europe: GDP growth
  • Associative topics : Africa and Middle East | Asia and Oceania | CEE and Central Asia | Economics | Latin America


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